This 4-leg parlay at +457 combines solid favorites and method-of-victory plays across a mix of bouts from tonight’s Zuffa Boxing 01 card (headlined by Callum Walsh vs. Carlos Ocampo at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas) and tomorrow’s IBF lightweight title fight. The parlay offers strong value for a multi-fight accumulator, blending moneyline picks with specific outcomes where the favored fighter has clear stylistic edges or experience advantages.
1. Floyd Diaz by Decision or Technical Decision (vs. Guillermo Gutierrez – Tonight, 7:00 PM)
Floyd Diaz enters as a massive favorite (around -1100 to -1450 across books), reflecting his technical boxing skills, speed, and footwork that should control the pace against Gutierrez (+600 underdog). Diaz, a young bantamweight prospect, excels at outboxing opponents from range and has shown durability in going the distance in competitive spots. Gutierrez brings some power but lacks the elite defense or volume to consistently threaten Diaz, who is expected to rack up points over 8 rounds rather than force early stoppages. This leg targets the safer “goes the distance” path for Diaz, avoiding riskier KO props given the fight’s likely tactical nature.
2. Cain Sandoval to Win Moneyline (vs. Julian Rodriguez – Tonight, 9:00 PM)
Sandoval is favored at around -180 to -230, with Rodriguez as a live +140 to +190 underdog. Sandoval boasts an undefeated record with heavy knockout power (high KO ratio in recent outings), making him a dangerous pressure fighter in the welterweight/junior welterweight range. Rodriguez has solid experience but has shown vulnerabilities against aggressive styles, and his recent form/inactivity raises questions. Oddsmakers give Sandoval a 65-77% implied win probability, driven by his youth, power, and ability to impose his game plan—likely wearing Rodriguez down or landing big shots. This straight moneyline pick anchors the leg with a high-confidence favorite.
3. Callum Walsh by KO/TKO/DQ (vs. Carlos Ocampo – Tonight, 11:00 PM)
Walsh is a heavy favorite (-700 to -750) in the main event, with Ocampo at +450. The Irish prospect (15-0, 11 KOs) brings youth, high volume, southpaw pressure, and solid pop—perfect for exploiting Ocampo’s defensive gaps. Ocampo (38-3, 26 KOs) is experienced but has lost big fights badly, often leaving himself open; he’s more of an “opponent” at this level after recent rebuild wins. Predictions lean toward Walsh stopping him mid-to-late (e.g., TKO in rounds 3-8), as his power and activity should break Ocampo down. This method prop adds juice to the parlay while aligning with Walsh’s knockout-heavy style and the matchup dynamics.
4. Andy Cruz Moneyline (vs. Raymond Muratalla – Sat 11:00 PM)
Cruz is favored at around -215 to -290 (implied 67-75% chance), despite Muratalla holding the IBF lightweight title. Cruz, an Olympic gold medalist with elite amateur pedigree, brings superior speed, technique, and ring IQ that many see overwhelming Muratalla (+184 to +210). Muratalla is a capable champion but faces questions against Cruz’s slick, high-level skills in what could be a decision-heavy fight. This leg bets on Cruz’s rapid rise and stylistic edge in a potential title-winning performance.
Overall Parlay Outlook
At +457, this parlay balances three heavy favorites (Diaz, Walsh, Cruz) with one moderate one (Sandoval), focusing on outcomes supported by current odds, fighter styles, and expert predictions. Risks include upsets in competitive spots (e.g., Rodriguez’s experience or Ocampo’s durability), but the selections lean conservative where possible (decision for Diaz) and exploit clear mismatches elsewhere. It’s a high-reward play on a busy boxing weekend—great for fans tracking Zuffa Boxing’s debut and the lightweight title clash. Always bet responsibly!