Daniel Jacobs vs Canelo Alvarez Odds & Prediction

This Saturday two of boxing biggest beasts are on a collision course for what could be fight of the year.

On May 4th in celebration of Cinco de Mayo weekend a Middleweight unification match between IBF champion Daniel Jacobs and WBA champion Canelo Alvarez will take place at T Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada. DAZN (NOT PPV) will live streaming the full event starting at 7:pm ET.

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is a Mexican born fighter form Guadalajara, Mexico. In his last few fights he battled against Gennady Golovkin twice and Rocky Fielding. Regardless of whether you believe he defeated Gennady Golovkin you have to respect his resume of fighter and ring generalship. With an impressive record of 51-1-2, 35 KO’s, Alvarez has won titles in four weight divisions.

Daniel Jacobs is an American fighter from Brooklyn New York. “Miracle man” is his name as a reference to his surviving and beating osteosarcoma which metastatic to his spine back in 2010. Since then he has defeated all odds. Daniel Jacobs also fought Gennady Golovkin, losing a close unanimous decision. He boasts an intriguing record of 35-2, 29 KO’s.

What Jacobs Needs to do to win:

Jacobs is longer and taller. He is 5'11" with a 73" reach. He knows how to use his reach and stay on the outside. This is exactly what he needs to do. We have seen Canelo against long boxers and they make him look bad. Go back and watch the Erislandy Lara, Austin Trout and Mayweather fights. They all made Canelo look bad in the ring. He does not do well against boxers who jab and move. The advantage Jacobs has is that he is taller than all those fighters and he has the power to stop Canelo. If Jacobs stand on the inside and try to fight Canelo is going to be a short night.

What Canelo Needs to do to win:

Canelo on the other hand will need to also employ his jab but must look to use a stabbing jab at the pit of Jacobs’ mid-section and mix in a consistent body attack. Canelo should bore his way into the pocket and get under Jacob’s jab. Once inside he will work the body with both hands forcing the chin to expose itself as a secondary target. We know that Jacob's has a weak jaw. He's been dropped by GGG, Mora and Dmitry Pirog. If Canelo stays on the outside its going to be a long night for him. Danny can shoot and run for rounds till he breaks him down.

Odds:

Vegas has has Canelo Alvarez the betting favorite at -360. Daniel Jacobs has been respectfully placed as the underdog at +300. The odds are heavily stacked against Daniel Jacobs, both literally and figuratively. A +350 underdog at sportsbooks reviewed by mytopsportsbooks.com, Jacobs will either need to dominate Canelo to get a win on the cards or earn a stoppage. Given that Canelo has never been stopped - not by Golovkin, not by Cotto, not by Mayweather - Jacobs' only realistic path to victory is by outboxing Canelo so badly that not even unfavorable Cinco de Mayo judging can steal the win from him.

Prediction:

Canelo by decision. Im going with my head, not my heart. I want Jacobs to win.. we all want the storybook ending. Do I think Jacobs can win? Yes. This is the most dangerous fight for Canelo. Yes even more so then GGG. Why? Jacobs is bigger, longer, and hits HARD. He has amazing ring generalship and loves to fight. However Canelo is a beast and has never been knockdown or out. This is going to be one of Jacobs hardest fights.

  • The Event:
  • Date: May 4th, 2019
  • TV: DAZN Streaming @ $9.99 a month, NOT PPV
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Time: Main Events start at 9pm ET, Canelo- Jacobs Ring walk ETA 11:30 PM ET. Undercars start @ 7pm ET
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